![]() Hand wrestles with seemingly less explicable questions as well: what the Bible and Shakespeare have in common, why financial crashes are par for the course, and why lightning does strike the same place (and the same person) twice. And together, they explain why we should not be so surprised to bump into a friend in a foreign country, or to come across the same unfamiliar word four times in one day. Together, these constitute Hand's groundbreaking Improbability Principle. All we need, Hand argues, is a firm grounding in a powerful set of laws: the laws of inevitability, of truly large numbers, of selection, of the probability lever, and of near enough. No mystical or supernatural explanation is necessary to understand why someone is lucky enough to win the lottery twice, or is destined to be hit by lightning three times and still survive. ![]() His definition of "miracle" is thoroughly rational. Not only that, we should all expect to experience a miracle roughly once every month.īut Hand is no believer in superstitions, prophecies, or the paranormal. Hand argues that extraordinarily rare events are anything but. ![]() In The Improbability Principle, the renowned statistician David J. ![]()
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